{"id":11817,"date":"2018-12-04T11:38:01","date_gmt":"2018-12-04T09:38:01","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/www.statssa.gov.za\/?p=11817"},"modified":"2018-12-04T11:38:01","modified_gmt":"2018-12-04T09:38:01","slug":"the-recession-ends-as-gdp-climbs-by-22","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.statssa.gov.za\/?p=11817","title":{"rendered":"The recession ends as GDP climbs by 2,2%"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>The South African economy grew by 2,2% quarter-on-quarter (seasonally adjusted and annualised) in the third quarter of 2018, bringing to an end the country\u2019s second recession since 1994. Higher contributions to growth in a number of industries \u2013 most notably in manufacturing, transport as well as finance and business services \u2013 were enough to lift economic growth back into positive territory.<\/p>\n<p>The rise in economic activity in the third quarter follows two consecutive quarters of negative growth, which is a widely recognised indicator of recession. The economy slumped by 2,6% in the first quarter of 2018 and a further 0,4%<sup>1<\/sup> in the second quarter.<\/p>\n<p>Manufacturing was the main driver of positive growth in the third quarter. The industry grew by 7,5%<sup>2<\/sup>, largely as a result of increased production of basic iron and steel, metal products and machinery; wood and paper; petroleum products; and motor vehicles. This is the largest jump in manufacturing production since the second quarter of 2016.<\/p>\n<p><a href=\"https:\/\/www.statssa.gov.za\/wp-content\/uploads\/2018\/12\/img1.png\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"alignnone size-medium wp-image-11818\" src=\"https:\/\/www.statssa.gov.za\/wp-content\/uploads\/2018\/12\/img1-300x235.png\" alt=\"img1\" width=\"300\" height=\"235\" srcset=\"https:\/\/www.statssa.gov.za\/wp-content\/uploads\/2018\/12\/img1-300x235.png 300w, https:\/\/www.statssa.gov.za\/wp-content\/uploads\/2018\/12\/img1-768x602.png 768w, https:\/\/www.statssa.gov.za\/wp-content\/uploads\/2018\/12\/img1-1024x803.png 1024w, https:\/\/www.statssa.gov.za\/wp-content\/uploads\/2018\/12\/img1-100x78.png 100w, https:\/\/www.statssa.gov.za\/wp-content\/uploads\/2018\/12\/img1.png 1321w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 300px) 100vw, 300px\" \/><\/a><\/p>\n<p>After contracting in the second quarter, the transport, storage and communication industry rebounded by 5,7% in the third quarter, making it the second largest contributor to overall growth. An increase in freight transportation underpinned the rise in activity. This is the largest quarter-on-quarter increase for transport, storage and communication since the third quarter of 2007.<\/p>\n<p>The finance, real estate and business services industry was another strong supporter of GDP growth, edging up by 2,3%. It was specifically the activities related to financial intermediation, insurance and real estate which performed better in the third quarter, contributing to the rise.<\/p>\n<p>The agriculture industry bounced back from two consecutive quarters of negative growth to record a 6,5% rise in the third quarter. Strong growth in the production of field crops, horticultural cultivation and animal products contributed to the rebound.<\/p>\n<p>The mining industry was the biggest detractor from economic growth, declining by 8,8%. Lower production levels were recorded for platinum group metals, iron ore, gold, copper and nickel.<\/p>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<p>Key facts from the third quarter 2018 GDP release:<\/p>\n<ul>\n<li>Expenditure on GDP increased by 2,3% in the third quarter of 2018.<\/li>\n<li>Gross fixed capital formation fell by 5,1% in the third quarter, largely as a result of declining investment in construction works, transport equipment, and non-residential buildings.<\/li>\n<li>Households spent more on food, beverages and household furnishings in the third quarter, driving up household final consumption expenditure by 1,6%.<\/li>\n<li>Unadjusted real GDP (measured by production) was up by 0,8% in the first nine months of 2018, compared with the first nine months of 2017.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<p>For more information, download the latest GDP report and media presentation<a href=\"https:\/\/www.statssa.gov.za\/?page_id=1854&amp;PPN=P0441&amp;SCH=7183\"> here.<\/a><\/p>\n<p><sup>1 <\/sup>Revised from -0,7%.<\/p>\n<p><sup>2<\/sup> Unless otherwise stated, growth rates are quarter-on-quarter, seasonally adjusted and annualised, and in real (volume) terms.<\/p>\n<p>Similar articles are available on the Stats SA website and can be accessed <a href=\"https:\/\/www.statssa.gov.za\/?page_id=624\">here<\/a>.<\/p>\n<p>For a monthly overview of economic indicators and infographics, catch the latest edition of the <em>Stats Biz<\/em> newsletter <a href=\"https:\/\/www.statssa.gov.za\/?page_id=6048\">here<\/a>.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>The South African economy grew by 2,2% quarter-on-quarter (seasonally adjusted and annualised) in the third quarter of 2018, bringing to an end the country\u2019s second recession since 1994. Higher contributions to growth in a number of industries \u2013 most notably in manufacturing, transport as well as finance and business services \u2013 were enough to lift&nbsp; &nbsp;<a href=\"https:\/\/www.statssa.gov.za\/?p=11817\" class=\"btn btn-mini btn-info pull-right\" style=\"margin:10px 30px;\">read more &raquo;<\/a><\/p>\n<div class=\"clear\"><\/div>\n","protected":false},"author":11,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[30,6],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-11817","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-economic-growth","category-economy-data-stories"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.statssa.gov.za\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/11817","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.statssa.gov.za\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.statssa.gov.za\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.statssa.gov.za\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/users\/11"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.statssa.gov.za\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcomments&post=11817"}],"version-history":[{"count":1,"href":"https:\/\/www.statssa.gov.za\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/11817\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":11819,"href":"https:\/\/www.statssa.gov.za\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/11817\/revisions\/11819"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.statssa.gov.za\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fmedia&parent=11817"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.statssa.gov.za\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcategories&post=11817"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.statssa.gov.za\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Ftags&post=11817"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}